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The author argues that AI has reached the Singularity, urging the IMF to recognize that autonomous AI is now driving frontier scientific breakthroughs.
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Import AI 477: In which I tell the IMF the Singularity has begun
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Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv, cappuccinos, and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe.Subscribe nowHere’s a speech I gave on Saturday the 17th of October at the IMF meeting in Bangkok. This speech is inspired by the megatrend readers have seen me cover this year of AI beginning to operate at the frontier of human science, sometimes autonomously. While we all may quibble over the details, I think it’s evident we’re in the early stages of the singularity, and I wanted to use my privileged position of giving the Per Jacobsson lecture to try and tell the assembled audience of economists, bankers, and policymakers, that they should expect significant, rapid change in the future. In this speech, I focused primarily on how humanity can share in the benefits of AI if we exercise proper foresight and restraint, and I’m going to be expanding on the stakes of the singularity and the risks that we’ll all face in coming issues.As I said a few times in the speech - some of which was ad libbed and not captured here - I take my own responsibility here extremely seriously. I find myself both a narrator of what is happening in AI, a principle agent behind what is happening in AI, and a translator that goes between many communities. In all of this, I am seeking to be truthful and to be clear about my own culpability. This is a forever work-in-progress.Thank you all for reading. Speeches like this draw heavily from the newsletter, and the newsletter is my attempt to provide week-by-week information to all of you. I appreciate your readership.***Inside the Event Horizon: Why Everyone Should Take AI Progress SeriouslyHello, thank you for having me. It is a great privilege to be here. To start, I should list my relevant credentials: I am a human being. There is one of me. It has taken me almost 40 years to build the experience to give this speech. I will come back to those credentials later. My whole career h
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